Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.954288 7.858146 8.850342 10.022852 11.373798 12.885271 14.709626
2024-12-15 5.660193 6.849417 8.259694 10.065178 12.329065 15.091848 18.746243
2024-12-22 4.785158 6.094756 7.740830 9.981495 12.982392 16.905536 22.493119
2024-12-29 4.365642 5.803659 7.701867 10.424527 14.284645 19.644954 27.799616
2025-01-05 3.900802 5.370791 7.391074 10.417919 14.920233 21.502487 32.103738
2025-01-12 3.507613 4.977891 7.070532 10.327778 15.382834 23.121056 36.244299
2025-01-19 3.043545 4.427218 6.453808 9.709177 14.942883 23.270063 38.024760
2025-01-26 2.819786 4.205048 6.293618 9.758004 15.533463 25.097739 42.839902
2025-02-02 2.692469 4.113766 6.318311 10.092680 16.615815 27.860284 49.711468
2025-02-09 2.550025 3.982788 6.263235 10.282509 17.463990 30.314360 56.402350
2025-02-16 2.412837 3.846089 6.182703 10.414280 18.215856 32.679565 63.299719
2025-02-23 2.286624 3.715209 6.097366 10.523674 18.931626 35.058985 70.616075
2025-03-02 2.105351 3.480163 5.819952 10.270374 18.958481 36.154327 75.526995
2025-03-09 1.973686 3.319781 5.658548 10.214137 19.360025 38.056882 82.581680
2025-03-16 1.847218 3.157886 5.479548 10.104112 19.637524 39.735919 89.438712
2025-03-23 1.809051 3.150609 5.580309 10.546664 21.104284 44.178007 103.837954
2025-03-30 1.714509 3.032064 5.462516 10.538280 21.609740 46.552217 113.535447
2025-04-06 1.618069 2.902367 5.312160 10.446539 21.919096 48.515498 122.560910
2025-04-13 1.467765 2.659849 4.924348 9.819830 20.952683 47.309030 122.665527
2025-04-20 1.405613 2.582666 4.856200 9.869260 21.546375 49.998708 134.394964
2025-04-27 1.378360 2.571373 4.918481 10.208251 22.863663 54.711139 153.189577
2025-05-04 1.337514 2.529895 4.915397 10.400538 23.850395 58.725199 170.843271
2025-05-11 1.293527 2.478804 4.887974 10.534019 24.707688 62.531302 188.802295